Each week, “Chalk…or not?” looks at exclusive Tour Level Data and past trends to create a model that projects DraftKings ownership. The golfers with our highest projected ownership percentages and some other potentially low-owned golfers are then analyzed for you to give you a true ownership edge on the competition.
Howdy folks, and welcome to an abbreviated and pontificated humpnostication proclamation. You see, the Ol’Humper got stuck out in the Gulf of Mexico today wrestling some black tip sharks and other ferocious animals so Chalk or Not is a bit different this week….
Bud Cauley ($9,200, 28.2 percent projected ownership): This Bud’s for you. He’s No. 20 in our Optimal Rating on the Cheatsheet, he got some love in The Winning Element, and he’s got the whole #bestfriendnarrative thing going. Refreshing but pretty chalky on the way down.
Ryan Moore ($9,600, 23.8 percent projected ownership): Moore won here in 2009 and finished 10th in 2015. He was T13th at last week’s PGA Championship, thanks in part to gaining 1.4 strokes on approach.
Chez Reavie ($8,100, 25.6 percent projected ownership): Chalk Reavie… eat it while it’s fresh. Chez has been an absolute monster T2G recently. His course history here took a turn for the worse once they switched to Bermuda greens in 2012 so that’s somewhat concerning.
Chad Campbell ($7,900, 23.1 percent projected ownership): Chad’s salary fits in lineups so nicely. He’s had a top-15 finish in four of his last seven starts.
Webb Simpson ($10,000, 28.6 percent projected ownership): Webb is No. 14 on the Cheatsheet and likely to be the highest owned golfer of the slate.
Kevin Kisner ($11,300, 24.8 percent projected ownership): Kis will either come out and happily dominate or be so pissed off about the PGA Championship that he’ll NGAF and miss the cut. Either way, his face will look exactly the same.
Henrik Stenson ($11,500, 22.7 percent projected ownership): Hump’s been Henrik’d too many times to get all giddy about a chalky Stenson. That said, he’ll likely win the tournament while I regret fading him.
Hump’s Hacks From The Deep Rough
Luke Donald has been brutal this season and has missed the cut in six of his last eight starts. That said, Donald loves playing golf in the Carolinas — he’s finished second at the RBC Heritage like 25 years in a row. Luke putts well historically on bermuda greens and he has played very well in his two trips to Sedgefield CC, where he’s finished 26th and second in the past two years.
The boys talked about him in The Winning Element, and Hump can never get enough of J.J. Spaun. My man drives the ball accurately and crushes greens in regulation.