Against the Grain (DraftKings)- Dean & Deluca
Recap of Last Week’s Article: An overall decent week for the ATG last week. In the top price category I recommended only using 1 stud in your lineup, and pending on which stud you picked, that was the correct strategy. In the second price category I listed Leishman as a nice pivot play off of Olllie, and that by all means worked out. Kegan was my value pick top play, and that worked out very well. My one fault was my last second switch from Reed to Snedker.
Personal Draft Kings Results: In a matter of full transparency, I am going to post about my results weekly, and give you my top 4 owned guys across the board. If you’ve been following me since my days with Fantasy Golf Insider, you know it’s important that I implement some, if not all of my suggested plays.
Spieth Hoffman schwatzel Ollie
Nothing good this week. I had a really decent chance in both the 333 and 1500, but then schwartzel WD killing any chance I had.
DraftKings Contests This Week: Totally flipping us upside down this week, DK, gives us tons of new contests. To better help you understand what it takes to cash in all these different types of contest offers be sure to read @Scottimac11 “Making the Cut”
$36 Up & Down 400k GTD- 150 max entry 50K first place.
$8 Best Ball 250k GTD- 25K First Place! 150 max entries.
$400 Driver 250K- 50K first 20 entry max
$3 30K Birdie- 20 ENTRY MAX IS BACK! Double time. This one is first place of $1,500
$4 150K Fore- 20 entry max!! The bigger of the two 20 entry max series, as it’s good to see DK go back to it. First is $7,500.
$1K Coastline Classic- If you love golf, this gets close to what Fan Duel is doing for the Scottish Open (but not as good in my opinion). It’s a 4-night stay in Southern California, where you get to play a round at Pebble Beach and either Cypress Point or Monterey Peninsula. It’s during the PGA Championship weekend. First place for the live final gets 40K.
Player Focus: ***Note that just because a golfer is listed as part of the Game Theory Analysis does not mean that I am recommending playing them unless specified otherwise.***
$10,000 & Above:5 golfers fit this category:
Spieth even after a MC will be the favorite to win. Rahm Casey Garcia & Kuchar round out the 5.
Projections: @hump_bumgardner, AKA Kelly McCann, will be back for his second week as author as “Chalk… or not” look for that tomorrow midday!
Highest Owned: Rahm 25%
Lowest Owned: Garcia 10%
GTA (Game Theory Analysis):Spieth coming off a miss cut is very interesting, Funny, I literally didn’t even have to change the first sentence. So lets put a little context behind this. Last year he blew up Sunday at the Masters and proceeded to miss the cut at the players, and finished a marginal T18 at the Bryon Nelson. Another dismal Sunday at the Masters followed by a MC at the players and at the Bryon Nelson, He was on pace for another mid tier finish, but then on his 34th hole of the tournament he put 2 OB and missed the cut. When we look back at last years number for Joran, he was priced at 12,800 and commanded about a 20% ownership in similar type of form. I’m going to say he’ll be under that, but above 15%. Garcia absolutely shocked me with his low ownership last week, as it seems people are buying into the post masters drop off. Kuchar carded another top 10 last week, as was pointed out by us last week, but his CH isn’t quite as good as it was at TPC Four Seasons. That leaves Rahm GOAT & Casey, both who will be owned in the low to mid 20%s.
Top Play: This category is honestly really hard to pin point a play. If the low ownership with Sergio continues then obviously stacking him with either of the other 4 guys would provide a nice variance, with Garcia/Kuchar being the lowest owned. It’s hard for me to pass up a Spieth revenge tour, and its also hard to fade Jon Rahm, ever after the MDF. So call me cliche but a Spieth/Rahm stack may just be the way to go this week.
$9,999-$8,000: 13 golfers fit this category:
Out of 13 golfers 5 of them have made at least 5 straight cuts here. Talk about a course horse price category!
Highest Owned: Adam Hadwin 20%
Lowest Owned: Chris Kirk 10%
GTA: Wow, talk about a stacked course house price category. Sorry to be repeat, but its pretty stellar. Snedker Kirk ZJ Leishman* and Dufner are the 5. I was let down a bit by Dufner on Sunday @ the Byron Nelson, but overall he had a pretty good week. DFS favorites Cayley and Finau, and fan favorite Phil Mickelson also show up here. A really deep 13 player’s in this price category will certinaly spread ownership out a bit amongst them. Chris Kirk a past champ here will be the lowest owned and is coming off 2 made cuts in a row, Player’s champ Si Woo Kim will also be lower owned because of that nagging back injury, but honestly that may be a bit overdone.
The Top Play: Leishman/Kirk stack. Leish was great tee 2 green last week, and that showed with his SGAPP and SGBS as highlight in the form generator. Kirk also showed signs of form at the Player’s finishing in 12th, but more importanlty his T2G is really rounding into form. He made a big equipment change to PXG at the beginning of the season, and some guys just take longer to get used to them. I really love the salary workaround you get by starting a lineup with these 2 guys.
$7999-$7000: 35 golfers fit this category:
An emotional win for Billy Herschel last week, and DK rewards him by increasing his price by 1200 up to 7900. Also have a few course bourses and a few young stud’s that show up in this price category.
Highest Owned: Sung-hoon Kang (Sung Kang) 20%
Lowest Owned: Cody Gribble <5
GTA: It wasn’t surprising to see Kang last week as one of the highest owned guys, but, I was surprised at the amount he was owned. Especially in the lager dollar buy ins, Dirt Mcgirt, who I’ve been told doesn’t like the nickname, but I don’t care, has mentioned this and memorial are 2 of his favorite courses, and we always want to make note of that when it happens. We wait another week for Ollie to breakthrough, maybe this is the week? Kevin Tway showed us again that if he makes the weekends, he’s going to put up DK points. For that reason you can’t really avoid him if your making multiple lineups.
The Top Play: Man I really wanted that approach shot from James Hahn to go in to get into the playoff, but it wasn’t meant to be. Another thing that just seems like it’s not meant to be is Hahn and this golf course as he’s 0/3 here. For that reason I’m fading him as the top play in this price category as I expect him garner some RF ownership.
6999 and Below-69 golfers fit this category.
Back below 100 golfers, again, thank goodness.
Highest Owned: Danny Lee
Lowest Owned: Again a tremendous amount of people will be very low owned in this price category.
GTA:So if you folllow my advice with stacking Spieth/Rahm you will need to a healthy amount of guys from this price category. For Danny lee is projected to be the highest owned right now, as he’s coming off a top 10 last week and he’s made 3/3 cuts here @Colonial. Other course bourses here in this price category is Bill Haas and Boo weekly. Be sure to check out @hump_bumgarder “Chalk…or not” report featuring bodwo’s “picks from down undah” that will be sure to highlight a few more guys from this price category.
Top Play: Bill Haas really feels like Billy Herschel last week did. Underpriced for the talent he possesses, and he hasn’t missed a cut here in his last 5 tries here. @6900 he’s carries very little risk and is my top deep dive pick of the week. (Oh btw I also like BOOOO)