Make the Turn
An anomaly in itself, making the turn signifies a few things. Whether you’re heading to the 10th tee thinking you’re halfway done with your round, or you’re starting a new one, making the turn symbolizes a new beginning. That’s the idea behind this piece which is exciting new part of our unique and unparalleled content here at Tour Level Fantasy. The introduction of weekend only golf on DraftKings gives you the chance to start over and make a whole new lineup, which we are here to help you with, and by the same token, you also might still have a chance in the normal week long contests and want to know where you stand.
The weekend only contest provides a unique format that doesn’t bring positional points, a.k.a. where the golfer finishes, into play. It also brings an opportunity to strategize on golfers that may be more inclined to play for birdies over pars, and vice-versa. For example, if Sergio Garcia is leading the tournament on Sunday afternoon, he may not being going for the green on 13 and 15, whereas, someone like JB holmes has nothing to lose and won’t’ be laying up. Remember DK points are only accrued when the golfer records a score on each hole and again does not receive points for what place he finishes in.
We all know statistics can help identify trends in specific golfers, and may help identify a player that is on the brink of a good round/tournament.
Greens In Regulation:
Strokes Gained Putting:
Week Long Contests:
First, I want to give you guys a quick review of some stats I saw from this week’s free play contest and what you might need to to get to the top come sunday!
Percentage of Lineups with 6/6: 25%** Roughly** of the lineups in this week’s freeplay have 6/6 that made the cut.
Top Score: 334**- This score, and a ton of other top ones, have all 4 guys tied for first on their roster. So really their score is inflated by about 30 points. I assume this based on a simply calculation that all 4 golfers right now is getting the 30 DK points for the win, but obviously only one of them can win therefore reducing the DK points from 30 to 20 for their finishing position.
Lowest Score 6/6: 151*(That I saw)- Interesting to see a score so low that has all 6 golfers make the cut. But when you actually look at the people is on a roster like that, you wonder is it really that far out? It has Casey/Day/Grillo/Kisner/Leishman/Mcilroy.
Other Notes: As i mentioned in the top score section, the first place guy has all 4 T1s right now. His points are inflated 30 so really the top score is 304. If you have any lineup that is within 50 points of this, that only has only two of the guys in first, you are sitting in a great spot.
So as you’ll see in this screen shot, this gamer has two of the guys tied in first, but also has a team filled up with great upside. Holmes is a birdie machine, 10 over the last 2 days, and also has a few prior green jacket winners on the squad. He’ll need Mr. Spieth to continue playing like he did on the back 9 today, and will need Phil to really figure it out. Obviously Charley Hoffman winning would be the most beneficial for this user, but where his focus really will be is the 2:10 Tee time where Spieth and Mickelson share an afternoon walk at Augusta. Wow- this should be fun.
These are golfers that are placed outside of the top 15, who we expect to be moving up the leaderboard over the weekend. To move up the leaderboard on moving day, you need to make birdies and eagles, and that means DK points, no matter the format.
Hideki Matsuyama ($9,700)- T16 (+2)
This part man-part robot comes into the week T16 and six shots back, completely within firing range of the leaders. Hideki-bot followed up a mediocre 4 over Thursday with a 2 under performance and could have been better had avoid double bogey or worse. The most important stat that I saw which really pops out to me was his putting performance today compared to on Thursday. If the flatstick keeps getting hotter, Hideki is looking at his 3rd straight top 10 in Augusta.
Justin Thomas ($8,800) T35 (+4)
Thomas is hands down one of the best Birdie-or-Better guys on the tour this year, which makes him the perfect player for the weekend format. Think about it; his upside is huge, he has something to play for ($$$ and Fedex points), and guess what…JT lead the field in GIR on thursday and shot one-over?? Are you kidding me? The putter really has let him down. If he can find the stroke…watch out. With the calm winds, I expect JT to shoot in the 60s..both days.
Charl Schwartzel ($8,000) T16 (+2) A former Masters Champ, Schwartzel was T12 heading into the weekend in 2011 when he made a roaring comeback on the back 9 to edge out Adam Scott. So let’s see, his game his trending in the right direction, he managed the wind very well, and he’s done it before? Sign me up for all of that and more, as I expect Charl to make at least 1 eagle and another 8 birdies this weekend.
JB Holmes ($7,800) T45 (+6)
This guy is a birdie machine-carding 10 in the first two rounds, however, he blew up on a few holes keeping his score over par. As weekend approachs with much less wind in the forecast to control his golf ball any longer, I expect Holmes to throw up at least 10 more birdies, and an eagle, making him the BEST play in the weekend only free play golf contest. Oh and in case you were wondering, this guy finished 4th here last year, after having one of the best rounds of the weekend with a 68 on Sunday.
Byeong-Hun An ($7,600) T35 (+5)
Now known on the tour as Grayson Murray’s best friend, An makes the weekend at Augusta, but needs to his putter. Byeong-Hun hit 15 greens today in regulation but was one of the worst ranked putters in the first two rounds. When his putter gets hot this guy can compete with the best in the world, much like we saw earlier this year at the WMO (Waste Management Open) where he placed 6th after holding the 54 hole lead.
Emiliano Grillo ($7,500) T35 (+5)
Grillo played a dreadful opening round, just breaking 80! But his maturity showed, as he bounced back with a stellar two under 70 on Friday. He also missed another three putts inside 10 feet so that 70 could have easily been a 67. Still, at this price and an early tee on Saturday, I expect him to be close to even par by the time the leaders tee off. Look for Grillo to improve upon his finish last year where he came in 18th.
These are guys near the top of the leaderboard, but don’t expect their game to drop off at all as we expect them to continue to make eagles and birdies, making them must haves on your weekend only teams.
Jordan Speith ($10,100) T10 (E)
Well, if you cross out one golf hole this week, he’d be tied for the lead. Sound familiar? Well another quadruple bogey, this time on 15, has Jordan trailing by 4 heading into the weekend. However, something seemed to click on the back 9 on Friday, and putt’s started to fall. If this happens again early on moving day, watch out, as he could apply some serious pressure to the leaders.
Rory McIlroy ($10,000) T13 (+1)
Rory had it to one under halfway through the round today, but found no success through amen corner and beyond. He looks to get off to a quick start tomorrow teeing off some 60 minutes before the leaders do. Seeking the career grand slam, Rory is as motivated as anyone in the field, and we know that when he gets his game going- not many in the world can stop him. That’s why in this type of format he’s a must play.
Rickie Fowler ($9,400) T1 (-4)
His game is in, in my opinion, the best it’s been in his entire career, and his stats would back that up. Number 1 in scoring average, 7th in BOB, 6th in ball striking, 4th in tee to green, second in total driving, and 3rd in scrambling. Wow. Oh he’s also top 10 in Strokes gained putting too! Danny Willet will be hanging around this weekend eating pimento cheese sandwiches and drinking Stella Artois(go Belgium and Thomas Pieters) , while he waits around just to put the Green Jacket on Rickie in Butler Cabin Sunday Night.
John Rahm ($9,100) T6 (-1)
First time? This guy is afraid of absolutely nothing and only plays better when playing with the best in the world. Getting first bumps from Rory may not be his strong suit, but Rahm out played Rory in the first two rounds and finds himself in the top 10, only 3 back in his first of many Masters. I expect he makes his move on Sunday after shooting a solid 70 on Saturday.
And…. just because you can never count of this next guy..
Phil Mickelson ($9,000) T10 (E)
Come on it’s the masters, and when’s the last time a Master’s Sunday didn’t feature Phil Mickelson making a charge…Oh… right he missed the cut last year, well he didn’t this year, so you can expect to see him near the top this weekend trying to win this third green jacket.
Whether you’re up building lineups now, or in the morning, we hope this info gives you “The Edge” for the weekend only freeplay on DK. Want to see more? Have Questions? Chat with me on twitter @dfsgolfer23 or with anyone on the Tour Level team @dfsjimmie and @pgaedge! Goodluck and enjoy the best weekend of the year.