Make the Turn:
If this is your first time reading “Make the Turn” then you’ll quickly find out it’s a great place to turn for weekend only golf picks.
Last Week’s Results: MTT was back to its usual form, and nailed the weekend only slate. We recommended Harman and DJ who were #3 and #1 respectively, amongst some other top 15’s as well.
Again, the TL strategy prevailed. Molinari wasn’t even in the top 25 of DK point earners for the weekend. This week I’m not changing that. However, this week we have a big weekend field with 83 players making the cut. If your new, semi-new, or a seasoned vet of golf or DFS golf, there will be an MDF- stands for made cut did not finish. The cut rule of T70 and above applies again here on Saturday, and any golfer that does not place inside the top 70 will not play Sunday, and share last place money. That needs to be a consideration this week when making lineups because you will have little chance of cashing if one of your golfers MDFs. Because the risk is just not worth it, we are going to recommend you stay away from most golfers that are over par for the tournament.
DraftKing Contests: Heads up: Lock is at :810 AM EST! It’s an early one!
$8 125k Island Green Special (10k to first)- 150 max entry
$36 36k weekend comebacker ($4k to first) -30 entry max
$360 36K Come-backer-(7k to first) Three entry max
$100K Weekend Warrior- Well I don’t’ know what DK was trying to accomplish with this, but they should have made it a live final. Like how bout hey at Sunday at the Northern Trust you’ll have access to a live final and private hospitality at the event… Wouldn’t that be nice.regardless its 15K first place for this “contest” or whatever it is.
Statistics: Please see our weekend only cheatseet here!
Week Long Contests:
Quick review on top scores and cut made %s.
Percentage of Lineups with 6/6: It looks like it’s 40% this week. Wow.
Top Score: Dogleg 308 but he does not have 6/6. 305 is top 6/. $4 Fore-343. $444 Pressure Putt- 303
Lowest Score 6/6: Pictured below is my worst 6/6 lineup. A stellar 176 points
Weekend Only (WO) Player Focus
“Weekend Warriors”: These are golfers that are outside the top 10 headed into the weekend, who we expect to be moving up the leader-board. To move up the leader-board on moving day, you need to make birdies and eagles, and that means DK points, no matter the format.
Justin Thomas (100/1 $8,900) T43 (E) What a two rounds this guy had. He was +4 for the tourney at two different occasions on Friday but managed 8 birdies to go along with his bogey and double bogey shenanigans. He makes the cut, and has almost 50 DK points and has 0 positional points. On this course knowing he’s going to be at least 5 shots back, JT won’t change his strategy and thus will present many birdie looks. Jt is almost a must play this weekend. ** He’s a bit of an MDF risk, as his game has been an absolute roller coaster this week.
Adam Scott (40/1 $8,300) T23 (-2) In round 1 Adam looked exceptional. World class even, which is what we have come to expect from him over the years. Only issue is he found the water on 17 and 18 coming in and dropped from -6 to -2. He followed that up with a 72 in round 2, but again struck the ball very solidly. Starting on Wednesday when I followed him for the front 9, to his 36th hole of the tournament, I’ve had him pegged as the winner. I am not changing my stance on that, and if that is going to come true he’s going to need to make a lot of birdies thus =DK points.
Martin Kaymer (150/1 $8,000)T43 (E) What looked to be a scary start for the past champion and highly owned Kaymer, he strung together 4 birdies in a row in round 1 getting him back to that Even number mark. He followed that up with another 72 making the cut. This guy is a DK points machine when he makes the cut, as I mentioned in the winning element, and I don’t see that changing this weekend. *As with JT the upside is great with his ability to rack up dk points, but know that he is a bit of an MDF risk.
Tommy Fleetwood (66/1 $7500) T16 (-3) Fleetwood is playing wonderfully Tee2Green gaining over 2 strokes against the field. His 10 birdies and only 5 bogeys (and 1 other) has him at -3 with a shot over the weekend. That seems to be a big trend with golfers in the top 20 is a strong overall tee 2 green game, and Fleetwood seems to have found that form in round 2. Look for him to continue making birdies
Seyong Yul-Noh (200/1 $7,300) T23(-2) Another guy that we highlighted in the winning element, he’s really rounding into form. He managed his way around the course yesterday afternoon shooting a 73, and could bounce back this morning with a nice 69. Beyond that though, his 70% GIR is very compelling as the greens have been very to hold this week. He also puttied well and that has been his downfall this year. Here’s the thing though, he’s not going to play bad enough to play himself out of contention, but he may not make enough birdies to be a perfect DK play. I’d say he’s a good “cash game” play in the weekend only format.
Smylie Kaufman (125/1 $7,200) -3 (T13) SMYLIE!!! Yes! It looks like SB2k17 finally reversed his final round at Augusta in 2016’s curse. A top 10 last week Smylie parlayed that into a reasonable round 1 shooting 74 in very tough conditions, and a fantastic 67 today. He’s gaining over a shot and half on his approach shots, as well as over a shot in both putting and tee to green. A great blend that if continued may give him a chance come Sunday.
“Sunday Staples”: These are guys inside the top 10 of the leader-board, but don’t expect their game to drop off at all as we expect them to continue to make eagles and birdies, making them must haves on your weekend only teams.
Jon Rahm (14/1 $9,600) -4 (T10) Rahm is almost an auto roster in a hole by hole scoring format only. There’s not much more that needs to be said here, the guys an absolute points machine. **Funny enough I didn’t have to change much for Rahm here. He’s -4, same as last week, and he’s in the top 10, same as last week. He’s 200 less so that’s good? Still he’s an auto roster in this format.
Paul Casey (20/1 $8,400) -4 (T10) We’ve been on Casey for a couple weeks now, and its only a matter of time before it pays off. His elite ball striking has got him in a great position to apply some pressure on the leaders tomorrow. He only has 3 bogeys’ over the last 2 days, one of very few in that category. In fact, the guy that’s next on this list is one of them.
Patrick Cantlay (25/1 $7,500) -5 (T5) Yea… He’s ready for the big time. He continues to improve his game each time he makes a start, and should be a consideration in all formats going forward, Maybe not quite on the Jon Rahm level but he’s getting close to it. A win here would put him on everyone’s map. His only downfall his is around the green game and scrambling as he’s only 63% this week. However when your hitting 78% of your greens that stat because a little less important, therefore I expect the #LOC to be in the final 2 groups to start Sunday. He’s probably better suited for a cash game, but because of his price and the tighter pricing, he’s fine for GPP as well.
Whether you’re up building lineups now, or later this afternoon, we hope this info gives you “The Edge” DK. Want to see more? Have Questions? Chat with me on Twitter @dfsgolfer23 or with anyone on the Tour Level team @dfsjimmie and @pgaedge! Goodluck!