My name is Scott McAfee aka @Scottimac11 on Twitter, Draft Kings, and Fanduel. I will continue our unique prospective this week covering cash game in this “Making the Cut at The Dean and Deluca Invitational. Ranked in the top 40 in the 2016 Rotogrinders PGA rankings (it’s the only real measure). I have a degree in finance and work as a trader as my day job. I love to chat about DFS golf on twitter so free feel to chat with me @Scottimac11
As with all of our content and tools here at TourLevel we aim to help you make better decisions in all of your fantasy golf/golf betting related items. The main purpose of this article his to help you “make the cut” with emphasis on cash games. For a more in depth analysis on GPP’s be sure to check out top ranked @DFSGolfer23 Jason’s Against the Grain Series on Tuesday as well as Kelly McCann’s “Chalk…or not” report due out on Wednesday.
Recap of the Dean and Deluca Invitational
Finally! How about our boy Kevin Kisner (who I am normally overweight on) finally putting it together and getting a Win. While I only had a couple lineups with Kisner in it, I was very happy to see him win. He held off furious rallies form two of my favorite players in Jordan Spieth and RahmGOAT. The weather spread on the AM/PM proved to be a major advantage for having success this week.
This week we move on to The Memorial Invitational at Muirfield Village in Dublin Ohio. Please check out The First Cut for a detailed write up of the course and stat correlations.
Scottimac11 went 71-4 in cash games this week, We only hit 1 of 2 of the cash games locks this week but the rest of our guys were fire. Leishman played solid but his tee time on Thurs was not of any help. We missed on Dufner along with everyone else so this one did not hurt. In our rounding out the lineups piece last week, We pushed Kevin Kisner who ended up winning, Matt Kuchar who was 1 stroke from ANOTHER back door top 10, and RahmGOAT who almost battled Sunday to push for a playoff. I actually stacked AM/PM lineups in both cash lines, its very important to follow weather splits when playing cash games. I usually tweet out info on this change at 5pm at Wednesday night. Luckily our picks were spot on but I did make some changes to mine due to weather. Please don’t hesitate to reach out on Wednesday to see if any weather concerns have surfaced.
My First Lineup entered in 37 events – 376.00
My Second Lineup entered in 38 events – 365.00
Cashing Line average from all Double Ups I played was – 318.00
Again, please continue to use a 2 lineup system. I had a great week and only lost to a couple Kisner Lineups. I found a way to Get Rahm in a lineup and ended up taking the risk on Danny Lee in both strictly on tee time being AM/PM. I could not write about him on Monday because he was so risky only coming off one solid tourney. I did mention how much I Loved Danny Lee in periscope Tues night so make sure we tune in on Tues at 930 PM Eastern.
Cash vs GPP Comparison
PGA 250K Best Ball ($8 entry) – Cashing Line was 371. Also I took 4th in this with a 494.50 lineup taking home $5,000. One more Spieth birdie and it could have gotten real fun. I only entered 15 lineups in this contest.
PGA 400k Up and Down ($33 entry) Cashing Line was 361.00
PGA 250K Driver ($444) Entry Cashing Line was 369.00
Again this week we will deploy our “Normal” strategy. We will continue to use 2 studs and fill out the last 4 spots of the lineups with guys we think will reach value. These remaining 4 must have good recent form, good recent stats that we can spot for the Recent Form Generator, and good course history. Remember if you’re going to play the big GPPs you must play a cash game for an equal dollar amount. I will continue you with standard 50 H2H matchups and 20-25 single entry and double ups. Pretty loaded field this week so we should be able to knock out some good value.
Cash Game Locks
Matt Kuchar ($9400) Kuuuuucccch was one stroke away from another top 10. Didn’t really have his game all week but still battled like you want a guy on your cash team to do. He is 7/7 on cuts with 6 top 25s here and 5 top 10s, the whole industry should have him on the cash roster this week. Don’t get cute. If he flops it won’t hurt because everyone has him.
Patrick Cantlay ($7800) Cantlay in Cash, So Patrick is ranked number 1 in approaches from 175-200 on tour the last couple tourneys. All 4 par 3s are between 175-200 yards. Also a good portion of the approaches on Par 4s are from this distance as well. TLF loves Cantlay
Steve Stricker- ($6900) We saw what he did Sunday at Colonial last week. His course history at Nicklaus course is way above average. He is basic, but that’s ok for cash. Expect Steve to make the cut this week and continue on his quest to gain entrance to the U.S. Open in his home state.
Billy Horschel- ($6700) Coming off a win two weeks ago, solid week at Colonial, some how is way under-priced again this week. This is a tad risky but we’ll list a pivot below as well, Gotta have some $6,700 value in lineup to get some RahmGOAT. Tune into Periscope on Tues night for More less than 7k guys for cash.
Rounding out the Lineups
Jon Rahm ($11,100) RahmGOAT almost came back and forced a playoff last week, he is the only player I would consider betting against DJ. Must find less than 7k value if you want to play Rahm, I will play him. Also he has been top 10 every tourney with greens that have a Stimp higher than 12. If you read Tee 2 Green by @DFSJimmie, he notes how fast Jack likes to keep the greens running at Muirfield.
Tony Finau ($7900) Form is solid, I also stay away in windy events which is why I haven’t written about him in Texas events. Weather looks okay from a wind standpoint in Columbus this weekend, Two Top 15s at Muirfield as well.
Marc Leishman ($6900) Battled last week after a rough Thursday. Has two top 10s at Muirfield. 7/8 on cuts here. At 6900 you Should be able to help get Rahm in the lineup.
Be sure to catch me on my periscope Tuesday nights @scottimac11 taking your questions live. Good luck this week.