My name is Scott McAfee aka @Scottimac11 on Twitter, Draft Kings, and Fanduel. I will continue our unique prospective this week covering cash game in this “Making the Cut” at The U.S. Open at Erin Hills. I was also Ranked in the top 40 in the 2016 Rotogrinders PGA rankings (it’s the only real measure). I have a degree in finance and work as a trader as my day job. I love to chat about DFS golf on twitter so free feel to chat with me @Scottimac11
As with all of our content and tools here at Tour Level we aim to help you make better decisions in all of your fantasy golf/golf betting related items. The main purpose of this article his to help you “make the cut” with emphasis on cash games. For a more in depth analysis on GPP’s be sure to check out top ranked @DFSGolfer23 Jason’s Against the Grain Series on Tuesday as well as Kelly McCann’s “Chalk…or not” report due out on Wednesday.
Recap of The St. Jude Classic
Boog! My boy Daniel Berger goes back to back! What a tourney for Daniel, a bogey free 66 to clinch two Consecutive St Jude Classic titles. Charl Schwartzel also played great and after tweeting “If I find the form I’ll win” to our own @dfsgolfer23 he played like someone wanting to win except he made a triple bogey on Saturday. Phil also gave us a show, but admittedly got nervous when he saw he was tied for the lead after hole 11, then tripled 12. We finally got some action on Sunday worth watching and a nice bridge to get to one of my favorite tourneys of the year. I love Fox Sports coverage because they actually show a ton of golf shots. Lets get on to the fun part
Our cash picks were 6/6 in the “Making the cut” article, both locks hit, all the value plays hit, and even the Rounding out the Rosters except for the Palmer MDF hit. It should have been a great week for most of the Tour Level “making the Cut” Following. I made the mistake of playing two guys who missed the cut and it cost me on 1 of my lineups. I was 6/6 in one lineup and 4/6 in the other.
Scottimac11 went 40-24 in cash this week. As you’ll see I had a pretty big spread between the two lineups. I did turn a decent profit so that’s the ultimate goal
My First Lineup entered in 32 events was 402.00
My Second Lineup entered in 32 events – 332.00
Cashing Line average from all Double Ups I played was – 386. 00
Cash vs GPP Comparison
PGA 225K Best Ball ($8 entry) – Cashing Line was 397.50
PGA 350k Up and Down ($33 entry) Cashing Line was 407.50
Matchups Vs the Pros
A new piece we are going to add, anyone pros that scalp one of my lineups, were going to write about their lineup and Strategy.
JetBlackX who I consider to be a top 5 player if not the top player in the country, picked off one of my 20 dollar entry lineups. He got my bad lineup so he took the W, but he went with the same strategy that we deploy
Two studs that can win the tourney, and fill it with value guys. His play of Schwartzel was the difference maker for our matchup.. Remember always create your own H2H matchups, pros don’t have time to go look for events.
Again this week we will deploy our “Normal” strategy. We will continue to use 2 studs and fill out the last 4 spots of the lineups with guys we think will reach value. These remaining 4 must have good recent form, good recent stats that we can spot for the Recent Form Generator, and good course history. Remember if you’re going to play the big GPPs you must play a cash game for an equal dollar amount. I will continue you with standard 50 H2H matchups and 20-25 single entry and double ups. Yes this is a repeat paragraph because we need to stick to the plan and strategy because it works.
This is a tough week with no real course History, I’m going to focus on the stats that @DFSjimmie wrote about in his “First Tee” article. Strokes gained on Approach, Strokes Gained around the Green, and GIR. I could put a good argument for scrambling, but if you miss a fairway or green it will be painful, having that said the fairways are wide, but we have to navigate elevations as well.
Cash Game Locks
Jason Day (10,800) – Jason’s form has gotten better the last few times out. He found his putting and has improved strokes gained on the green. He is one of the best players in the world around the greens. His history at the US open is 4 straight top 10s. This course is a beast and has shown he has the mental toughness to play well in hard conditions.
Adam Scott ($8800)- Adam Scott is a good enough player to win this tourney, his history at the US open has a couple top 10s and a couple top 20s, telling us he is strong enough to manage these courses. His Strokes gained T2G which is always important, was almost 3 strokes last week, granted that was against a weaker field. We like Adam Scott this week and having a guy at 8800 that is capable of winning is good enough for me
Matt Kuchar ($7600)- I love Kuchar in cash at 9K, so being that he is $7600 and been a machine as of late, give me all the Kuch. The last 4 weeks Kuchar has been more than a whole stroke positive on Stroke gained on approach. I’ll just call for a back door top 10 again this week
Kevin Kiser ($7500) Coming off a win in the last two weeks, Kisner took a week off to rest, Kisner is accurate off the tee, and his approach stats were over a whole stroke gained in his last tourney. I always use Ball striking and this week is no different.
Rounding out the Lineups
Francesco Molinari ($7000) Molinari is ranked 2nd in Strokes Gained Approach on tour YTD, and was a full stroke gained last week in Memphis. Has a few top 25s mixed in at US opens. Molinari doesn’t make a lot of bogeys so he should hang tough here. He is longer than people think, so he should fair well here.
Billy Horschel ($6700) This is my lowest price guy cus its gives us so much more room to work with the high-priced guys, He’s made the cut his last 4 US opens. He played great on the weekend in Memphis, Last week he was just less than a stroke gained in approach.
Follow Scottimac11 on twitter for a weather update as we get closer to Lock.
Also tune into “making the cut” periscope Tues evening at 930 Pm Eastern.