On my way to the City of Sin, and boy have I been battling airlines and the internet ALL day. LUCKILY it finds I’ve found a bit of a good patch, and was able to write Making the Turn.
Last Week’s Results:
Making the turn returned to form last week, as we highlighted Jason Day as the top play on the weekend, and he ended up with the most points over the weekend. Let’s see if we can repeat.
Well this week we have 4 guys tied at the top, and the thing is there all playing really well. I am going to stick my guns here and leave Webb Simpson out of the pool, as we picked him in the WINNING ELEMENT to fade, so I’m reiterating that call now. As far as the other guys go, Lee/Piercy/Kisner, they are all playing really well, so I’m going against my strategy, especially for Lee and Piercy, and saying it’s OK to roster them. Thankfully NO MDF so we don’t have to worry about that.
DraftKing Contests: Heads up: Lock is scheduled right now for 820 am EST
$8 100K weekend best ball
$36 25k Weekend Come-backer ($2.5k to first) -24 entry max
$360 30K Come-backer-(7k to first) two entry max
We all know statistics can help identify trends in specific golfers, and may help identify a player that is on the brink of a good round/tournament. If you haven’t checked out Weekend -only cheatsheet then you should. We have a full list of the SG data for rounds 1 and 2 to help you pinpoint golfers that could score this weekend!
Strokes Gain Approach
Strokes Gained Putting
Strokes Gained of the Tee
Week Long Contests:
Quick review on top scores and cut made %s.
Percentage of Lineups with 6/6: It looks likes out 15-17% of the lineups throughout the contests had 6/6. Interestingly not 1/20 in the Thunderdome got 6/6 of through. I lead after 36 holes, but sadly rostered Dufner and Stanley so I doubt I’ll end up there come the end of the weekend. (I have Lee & Kisner)
Top Score: $36 Up and Down 347.50 . $8 best ball 347.50 $4 fore – 348
Weekend Only (WO) Player Focus
These are golfers that are outside the top 10 headed into the weekend, who we expect to be moving up the leaderboard. To move up the leaderboard on moving day, you need to make birdies and eagles, and that means DK points, no matter the format.
Jordan Spieth (10/1 $10,000) T11 (-2): Even with a terrible Tee draw, Spieth was a able to manage 11 birdies over the first two rounds. More importantly though, he’s back to his old putter, and making putts. His game is still a bit erratic so I don’t know if he can win, but for weekend only DK he is the absolute perfect play. It’s all about points, and Spieth is your guy for that. As mentioned above he’s gained over two strokes putting vs the field, and just as we saw with JDay last week, I expect that continue this weekend, and turn into even more birdies.
Matt Kuchar (250/1 $9,200) T45 (+2): Well a rather lackluster first 2 rounds for Matt, even with the good weather draw, but as a new twitter debate rages on, is it time for another “black door” top 10? A notorious weekend player, Kuchar fits well being only 7 back of the lead. One of the worst putters in the field over the first few days( he lost over a shot and a half) you know that will definitely change.
Chris Kirk (80/1 $7,800) T20 (-1) A WD from the pro-am certainly scared many, as his ownership for week long was below 10%, even with an amazing course history. Obviously the back is better, or isn’t bothering him enough to WD, so I’m buying this weekend. He’s on the verge of a breakout, and he loves it here, so I’m buying at $7,800. He’s been very balanced throughout the first two days, not loosing any strokes in any of the categories we follow. Look for that consistent play to continue into the weekend.
Kevin Tway (50/1 $7,700) T11 (-2) At this point there is absolutely no reason not to roster this guy. He makes ton’s of birdies (bogey’s too) and he has definitely found a rhythm out here on here tour making his 4th straight cut. Look for his floor of points to be around 30-35, with upside in the 40’s. His only bad statistical category is off the tee where he lost just .5 strokes to the field.
Ben Martin (250/1 $7,600) T33 (+1): Ben was part of our value section in the WINNING ELEMENT this week as our FORM GENERATOR shows Ben coming into form. It showed over the first few days of the tourney as he has himself in a good place to make a nice paycheck. One of the best combinations to have as far as stats goes, are a good approach game and a good putting game, and luckily for Ben, he’s gained over a stroke against the field in both categories.
Yuta Ikeda (XX/1 $7,300) Another guy that has seemingly found a nice rhythm here on the PGA Tour, Ikeda second ranked Japanese player on tour, makes his third straight cut. Because our sample size is still rather small, its hard to predict his floor, but if you check out our WEEKEND ONLY CHEATSHEET, you’ll see we have him projected @ 32 points. Much like Kirk’s game, Ikeda is really well balanced.
These are guys inside the top 10 of the leaderboard, but don’t expect their game to drop off at all as we expect them to continue to make eagles and birdies, making them must haves on your weekend only teams.
Danny Lee (9/1 $7,700) T1 (-6) As I mentioned in the opening, I don’t think you can avoid Lee Piercy Kisner. So I’ll group all three of them under Danny. If I had to pick 1/3 and needed to save salary I’d go to Piercy if I needed the mid ground I’d go Lee. Lee’s total strokes gained of over 4 strokes, was really done by his approach shots and his putting. Again a great combo to have as I expect that continue this weekend. As far as Piercy and Kisner go, Kisner has putted tremendously over the past 2 rounds, so he’ll have to pick up his play a bit to win, whereas Piercy has been quite balanced. Kisner (9400 & 6/1) Piercy (7,500 & 12/1)
Jon Rahm (5/1 $9,900) T5 (-5) He actually only had 7 birdies over the first two rounds to go with 2 bogey’s. Sure it puts him in a good spot to win the golf tournament, but his DK points is kind of lacking. I KNOW that’s really shocking. Still, its RAHMGOAT, once the putter gets hot, I expect him to apply some heavy pressure on the leaders over the weekend.
Paul Casey (8/1 $9,500) T5 (-5) Much like the gentleman above, Casey has just played a solid 2 rounds, with 9 birdies a couple bogeys and a double. He had the worse of the weather draws as well, so that’s why I am extremely encouraged that he can do some big time damage over the weekend. Adding to my position, his putter is on point this week gaining over 2.5 strokes in that category. If that continues over the weekend he’s a good bet to win.
Whether you’re up building lineups now, or later this afternoon, we hope this info gives you “The Edge” DK. Want to see more? Have Questions? Chat with me on Twitter @dfsgolfer23 or with anyone on the Tour Level team @dfsjimmie and @pgaedge! Goodluck!