Make the Turn
If rounds 1 and 2 have your lineups sunk, get the Weekend Edge here. If this is your first time reading “Make the Turn” then you’ll quickly find out it’s a great place to turn for weekend only golf picks. This article covers only weekend golf, strategy for selecting the highest scoring golfers each weekend as well as our picks to start building your teams around.
Last Week’s Results:
It was a mixed bag yet again last week, as Jon Rahm shocked the world, in a bad way for the first time in his career. Both he and JT MDF’d and we highlighted them as possible good plays. I will say we highlighted JT as a possible risk to do just that, so hopefully you all weren’t overly exposed.
Kyle Stanley and JB Holmes who entered the weekend close to the lead did not end up in the top 25 points DK points scored for the weekend, so the strategy holds true yet again…Fade Kokrak and in general the top of the leaderboard…especially since Billy HO has been gaining all his strokes with the putter. However this week the world’s number one player heads to the weekend with a share of the lead, so for the first time we are not recommending this strategy…at least with DJ. But feel safe the fade the rest.
DraftKing Contests: Heads up: Lock is STILL SCHEDULE FOR 9:50 AM!!
$8 125k Island Green Special (1k to first)- 150 max entry
$36 36k Weekend Come-backer ($4k to first) -35 entry max
$360 40K Come-backer-(10k to first) Four entry max
We all know statistics can help identify trends in specific golfers, and may help identify a player that is on the brink of a good round/tournament.
Strokes Gain Approach:
Strokes Gained Putting:
Strokes Gained of the Tee
Byeong Hun An
Week Long Contests:
Quick review on top scores and cut made %s.
Percentage of Lineups with 6/6: It looks like it’s really low this week, somewhere in the 5% range.
Top Score: $36 Up and Down 308 . $4 Fore-343. $444 Pressure Putt- 303
Weekend Only (WO) Player Focus
“Weekend Warriors”: These are golfers that are outside the top 10 headed into the weekend, who we expect to be moving up the leaderboard. To move up the leaderboard on moving day, you need to make birdies and eagles, and that means DK points, no matter the format.
Jason Day (30/1 $9,500) T18 (-3): Only 4 bogeys (and 1 double) over the first two days has Jday only a few back of the lead. He’s got all the talent in the world, obviously, and his putting seems to absolutely be figured out as he’s one of the leaders in that category gaining over 3 strokes on the field. Knowing that, I think he’ll fix the way ward issues he’s having with his ball striking and make a charge this weekend. He’s good for a least 6-8 birdiies and at least 3 eagle “looks” over the weekend.
Smylie Kaufmann (150/1 $7700) T25 (-2): Smylie had an eventful first 2 rounds, in round 2 he had 6 birdies, The kid has figured out his game and has been playing great. Smylie Hit 77 percent of GIR and gained almost two strokes putting on the field. He feels more comfortable on the weekend should post a low score both days.
Brooks Koepka (20/1 $9600) T13 (-4): Brooks general scores as one of the BoB stat guys, his weekend surge for his 2nd place finish a couple weeks back has me excited for anther one this weekend. His dropped a few strokes on the field putting today, so if that picks back up over the weekend we’ll have to be excited. We still gotta think Brooks gets an eagle look or two as well.
Will Wilcox (250/1 $7,500) T17 (-3): We mentioned Will as part of our “Winning Element” under the albatross section. We witnessed him playing well over the practice days, which brought a great human element piece. If you haven’t already subscribed for the edge package, being on site is just one of the things we bring to the table. At one point the dfs darling had it to -5 has he raked up 9 birdies over the first two days. As goes standard with Wilcox, he gets hot and cold within rounds, and when he makes the weekend can make a lot of betters. We see some really encouraging numbers from him as well over the first two days where he gained over a stroke against the field in SGARG and gained over 2 strokes SGOTT. At 7,500, he presents nice value to pair with DJ.
JJ Henry (225/1 $7,200) T17 (-3): Another guy that we focused on in the winning element, Henry is a native of the area. To this point, he’s leading the field in strokes gained tee to green, gaining over 4 strokes, picking up 3 on his approach shots. This is a deadly combo if the putter can get hot, and should present a ton of birdie looks over the weekend.
Beau Hossler (350/1 $7,000) T25 (-2): The golfing world has been waiting for Beau to pop, and make a cut. Playing in his native home state of Texas, Hossler finally makes a cut and sits at -2. He did so by playing well of the tee gaining over a stroke against the field. The rest of game still needs work, but with 7 birdies over the first two days at 7K price, he’s almost a must roster if your stacking DJ/Garcia or Dj/Spieth.
These are guys inside the top 10 of the leaderboard, but don’t expect their game to drop off at all as we expect them to continue to make eagles and birdies, making them must haves on your weekend only teams.
Dustin Johnson (9/4 $10,100) T3 (-6): His history here speaks for itself as has the most rounds in the 60’s of any golfer, by far. His game seems to be getting back to his standard which is, beyond his raw power, an overall well rounded game. He’s gaining strokes vs the field in every category with Tee 2 green and putting being his best two. We suspect him to have a good chance of winning the tourney come Sunday.
Byeong Hun-An( 15/1 $7,900) T3 (-6): If you’ve been with us since our inception, we’ve been touting this guy since then. He’s on the verge of a breakthrough, as he seeks to improve on his T2 place finish he had last year at the Zurich. He, like DJ, played in the tougher of the 2 playing conditions and still managed to shoot both rounds in the 60’s, thus under par on both. He’s top 5 in strokes gained tee to green, and as we’ve mentioned in the past with An, if he putts well, he’s going to have a chance to win. This week he’s gaining just under a stroke against the field in SGP and that’s a really good sign for things to come over the weekend.
Bud Cauley (15/1 8,400) T3 (-6): Cauley’s course History tells us that he loves this course. He also has 9 birdies over the first two days. Bud seems to have a good feel for the greens posting 1.572 strokes gained putting the first two days. He also has the ability to throw up a low score this weekend.
Whether you’re up building lineups now, or later this afternoon, we hope this info gives you “The Edge” DK. Want to see more? Have Questions? Chat with me on Twitter @dfsgolfer23 or with anyone on the Tour Level team @dfsjimmie and @pgaedge! Goodluck!