My name is Scott McAfee aka @Scottimac11 on Twitter, Draft Kings, and Fanduel. I will continue our unique prospective this week covering cash game in this “Making the Cut at The Dean and Deluca Invitational. Ranked in the top 40 in the 2016 Rotogrinders PGA rankings (it’s the only real measure). I have a degree in finance and work as a trader as my day job. I love to chat about DFS golf on twitter so free feel to chat with me @Scottimac11
As with all of our content and tools here at TourLevel we aim to help you make better decisions in all of your fantasy golf/golf betting related items. The main purpose of this article his to help you “make the cut” with emphasis on cash games. For a more in depth analysis on GPP’s be sure to check out top ranked @DFSGolfer23 Jason’s Against the Grain Series on Tuesday as well as Kelly McCann’s “Chalk…or not” report due out on Wednesday.
Recap of the AT&T Byron Nelson
The AT&T Byron Nelson turned out to be an exciting revival or one of our favorites in Jason Day who ultimately fell short in the playoff to the bright pink pants of Billy Horschel. The tournament ended up coming down to the putter of Horschel who finished the weekend +2.092 Strokes gained on the field. It was great to see Day play well on the weekend as he was the main target in the Making The Turn article posted on Friday evening for the weekend events on Draft Kings
This week we move on to the Dean and Deluca Invitational at Colonial CC. Please check out The First Cut for a detailed course description and stat correlations.
Our cash picks should have yielded some positive results this week. Our “cash game locks both made the cut and yielded decent points for the week. Our $8700 pick of Matt Kuchar finished in the top 10. Both Value plays also made the cut with $8800 Jason Dufner finishing just outside the top 10. Rounding out the lineups we did miss on Henley, but he was 50 percent owned in cash games and didn’t hurt too bad. We avoided the big misses on playing the highest costing favorites and this continues to prove our game theory or Two Studs and find value.
Scottimac11 went 42-18 in cash games on Draft Kings, which included all H2H, 50/50s and double ups. I also continued to track down my fish for 8 matchups. Please please please track who you are playing against and their scores.
My first lineup entered in 30 events – 413.00
My second lineup entered in 30 events – 384.00
Cashing Line average from all Double ups I played was 358.00
Its easy to see the importance of the two lineups. We had a good week and cashed most events on both lineups. We lost to teams that had Jason Day in cash, which paid off for the ones that played him.
Cash vs GPP Comparison
PGA 275K Club Pro ($333 entry) cashing line was 401.00
PGA $450K Up and Down ($36 entry) cashing line was 393.50
PGA 300K Best Ball ($8 entry) cashing line was 391.00
Again this week we will deploy our “normal” strategy. We will continue to use Two Studs that CAN/Could win, and fill out the last 4 spots of the lineups with guys we think will reach value. These remaining 4 must have good recent form, good recent stats that we can spot for the Recent Form Generator, and good course history. Remember if you’re going to play the big GPPs you must play a cash game for an equal dollar amount. I will continue you with standard 50 H2H matchups and 20-25 single entry and double ups. Lets get to the fun part., we have a little bit tougher pricing than normal but we’ll knock it out again.
Cash Game Locks
Marc Leishman ($9300) – Coming off a top 15 finish last week with great stats on Saturday and Sunday ill have Leishman exposure in cash. He navigates well around Par 70 courses. He’s also a Positive Strokes gained guy the past 4 weeks. He’s not sexy but could be a nice cash play as he is 6/6 with 3 top 30s here and a top 15 last year,
Jason Dufner ($9000) Duff Daddy is positive strokes gained on the field the last 4 weeks in any category you want except Stroke Gained around the green, this is good enough for me combined with recent form and Course History to be my cash game staple. He has 3 top 10s in 5 tries here. For $9000 he is worth playing in cash,
Adam Hadwin ($8400) – Course history is why Hadwin is making the list this week. I have stayed away recently but he clearly likes this course. With two top 25s and a top 5. He is a way better golfer now than the tourneys he places well in the past.
Charley Hoffman ($7300)- Charley still in Texas. 6/6 on making the cut here at Colonial CC. Recent stats are ok and he always seems to be in contention through Saturday, which is helpful obviously for cash. Recent stats fit ok as well.
Rounding out the lineups
Were are going to post go some higher priced guys to fill in with Dufner or Leishman
Kevin Kisner- recent form and recent stats are both good. His course history = Two top 10s
Matt Kuchar- You know how I feel about him, played well last week,. Stats are solid, 6/7 cuts here, could see a back door Top 10 again. Could very well end up in both my cash lineups
Jon Rahm- If you feel so inclined to Play RahmGoat, feel free to offset some of the Salary with Boo Weekley or Brian Gay. Not my favorite play, but wanted to give some low salary guys that could help make it work.