The Winning Element
This is where we blend the tour level content with tour level data, mix in human element factors to generate this Week’s top 25 leaderboard. Instead of trying to do the impossible and place every golfer in their respective finishing position, we’ve grouped them into their most likely spots with our final piece of written content each week.
Obviously this week is a little different with DK or FD not offering PGA Tour contests, thus the need to focus on Euro for DK purposes.
Last Weeks Results: Chap was top on our board last week. We get W number 1 out of the way early.
Top 10’s: 6
Winner Picked- Yes
Zurich Classic Leaderboard
1-10 Teams Most Likely to Win
Day/Fowler (6-1) Coming as the favorite, this dynamic duo probably has the best chance to win. Rickie has been extremely consistent off the tee this year, and that’s seemingly been Jason Day’s only problem. Since Folwer gets to hit the drive for half the holes during alternate shot this should really benefit the team during this format. Look for these odds to increase as the tournament unfolds, and be prepared to take action if they improve .
Spieth/Palmer (10/1) After internet trolls lit a fire under Ryan on Thursday, he bounced back with a couple of good rounds at the Valero, filled with tons birdies, 19 to be exact. Pair that with Jordan Spieth? This team could do a lot of damage during the best ball format.
Berger/Pieters (14/1) One of the few teams to have an American and a European on it, lovemark/donald are the other, competing this week. Both emerging stars in search of their first win of the year, and for Pieters would be his first on the PGA Tour. A great narrative for one of the strongest teams in the field.
Grace/Oosthuizen (14.5/1) Coming in with a red hot tee 2 green game Grace pairs himself with a very steady player in Oosthuizen. Not what you might consider a prolific scoring duo, I like them this week due to the conditions. As highlighted in The Yardage Book yesterday, high winds expected throughout, the exceptional ball striking of this talented pair could win the day in difficult conditions.
Matsuyama/Taniahara (22/1) Japan has a team in the Zurich this week as the top 2 owgr Japanese golfers team up to compete. Matsuayma represented team Japan earlier this year in the ISPS Handa WC of Golf finishing 6th with Ishikawa. Tanihara has also been playing very well, and if Hideki can return to form this team could be very dangerous this week.
Kisner/Brown (66/1) These “Tuesday Heroes” can often be found playing together during practice rounds and the word is…they are rarely beat when playing two-man formats. Kisner has been on a run of good form, paired with the steady putter of Brown could be a force in a tournament that will likely come down to putts made on tough grainy greens this week.
Kang/Kim (70/1) This interesting pairing could prove to be stronger than some would expect when looking at the stats. Kim has finally been healthy for a stretch, with immense talent and a proven winner…going with the red hot Kang. Kang’s iron game has been dialed in and these guys know how to score in bunches.
Gomez/Vegas (80/1) Team South America enters Nolo at 80/1. Here’s two guys that clearly like the golf course, Gomez is 4/4 in his las t4 tries, and Vegas finished just outside the 3 man playoff that happened last year. If they can keep it close in the alternate shot format, they have the firepower to gain ground during 4 ball.
Schniderjans/Werenski (150/1) Team No Hat (not sure if Richy wears a hot or not) led by Ollie is in great form with the kind of game that is akin to last year’s 2nd place finisher in Jamie Lovemark, but with a lower ball flight. Ollie is in great form paired with the safe and relatively consistent off the tee and approach game of Richy. These guys could get a few putts to go their way and be right in the mix in what will be a highly variant tournament.
Bozzelli/Poston (185/1) The final pairing for the Winning Element team event is The Bozz who has flashed some incredible game and a wicked hot putter at times this year. Match that with the in form and tight wedge game & putter of Poston could make some noise this weekend. With this new format and weather on the move, this is anyone’s tournament this weekend and from the deep end these guys have a shot to make a run at the first Zurich Title if you are looking for the long shot.
Volvo Open Leaderboard
Top 5 * In order of DK Salary*
Ross Fisher (12/1 DK-$11,800) We mentioned fisher in the Against the Grain as a possible low ownership play, and we also see find him at the top of the leaderboard come sunday morning. He’s in great form placing third last week Shenzhen, 41st at the masters, along with great showings at 2 WGC events.
Jordan Smith (25/1 DK-$10,200) Here’s a guy that is consistently on the first page of the leaderboard come sunday’s, and is almost always around for the weekend. He’s made 10/11 cuts this year with three top 10’s and 3 additional top 25’s.
Gregory Bourdy (50/1 DK $8,500) This one stuck out to me as a Dk to Vegas Odd’s play as clearly one is wrong. At 50/1 he should be priced in the 7000 range, but yet is priced at 8500. Coming off strong form at the Shenzen placing third, this screams great value on the betting side. We expect to see him on the first page of the leaderboard come Sunday Morning.
Peter Uihlein (28/1 DK- $8,300) Mr. Titleist will be the highest owned golfer this week on DK, but rightfully so as he has one of the best chances of winning. Coming off great form here in the States, and incredibly consistent form on the Euro Tour this year, it’s time for Peter to get his first win of 2017.
Haydn Porteous( 66/1- $6,700) Only 22 years old, this South African golfer won many a amateurs tournaments there. He turned pro in 2013 and hadn’t quite found his footing, but seems to have finally found it recently. He’s made 5 straight cuts and also played well here last year coming inside the top 25. We like Haydn as our long shot this week.
Bad Chalk Report:
No chalk for Zurich as there is no DK but if you read the Against the Grain I mentioned that Euro ownerships are much more top heavy than PGA. This creates a ton of chalk at the top. It’s hard to pick just 1 out of the 10 guys that will be over 20% owned this week, but at this point we are underweight on Joost Luiten.